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House
AR-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Bruce Westerman
Republican party
97.6%
Yes
99.2¢
No
3.4¢
Bruce Westerman
Republican party
97.6%
Yes
99.2¢
No
3.4¢
James Russell
Democratic party
2.4%
Yes
3.4¢
No
99.3¢
James Russell
Democratic party
2.4%
Yes
3.4¢
No
99.3¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
AR-04 House winner?
Bruce Westerman
YES 99.2¢
NO 3.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Russell
Nov 3
·
R +33.8
margin forecast
Westerman
$8,758 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
AR-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Bruce Westerman (R)
Running for re-election
AR-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Bruce Westerman
R
$3M
1.3%
$3M raised
·
1.3% small donors
James Russell
D
$5,853
30%
$5,853 raised
·
30% small donors
Westerman vs. Russell Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Westerman 98%
Russell 2% · $4,862 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past AR-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +39.9%
2020
R +35.2%