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Senate
Montana Senate winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Kurt Alme
Republican party
92.3%
▲ 2.2
Yes
92¢
No
8.8¢
Kurt Alme
Republican party
92.3%
▲ 2.2
Yes
92¢
No
8.8¢
Seth Bodnar
Independent
7.7%
▼ 2.2
Yes
8.2¢
No
92.5¢
Seth Bodnar
Independent
7.7%
▼ 2.2
Yes
8.2¢
No
92.5¢
Alani Bankhead
Democratic party
0.8%
▲ 0.2
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.8¢
Alani Bankhead
Democratic party
0.8%
▲ 0.2
Yes
0.7¢
No
99.8¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
Montana Senate winner?
Kurt Alme
YES 92¢
NO 8.8¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Bodnar
Nov 3
·
R +9.0
margin forecast
Alme
$969,135 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
Montana Senate Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Steve Daines (R)
Not seeking re-election
Montana Senate Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Alani Bankhead
D
$172.5K
43%
$172.5K raised
·
43% small donors
Kurt Alme
R
$2M
4.5%
$2M raised
·
4.5% small donors
Seth Bodnar
I
$4.7M
14%
$4.7M raised
·
14% small donors
Alme vs. Bodnar Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Alme 92%
Bodnar 8% · $929.7K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past Montana Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +19.9%
2020
R +16.4%