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  1. House

PA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Madeleine Dean
Democratic party
95.4%

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party
95.4%
Aurora Stuski
Republican party
4.6%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party
4.6%
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PA-04 House winner?

Madeleine Dean

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Dean
Nov 3 ·D +25.0margin forecast
Stuski
$6,383 vol
Race Intel

PA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMadeleine Dean (D)Running for re-election

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Aurora StuskiR
    $8,800
    35%
    $8,800 raised·35% small donors
  • Madeleine DeanD
    $1.9M
    12%
    $1.9M raised·12% small donors

Dean vs. Stuski Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsDean 95%Stuski 5% · $4,119 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +15.8%2020D +18.9%