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House
NM-03 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Teresa Leger Fernández
Democratic party
95.4%
Yes
96.6¢
No
5.6¢
Teresa Leger Fernández
Democratic party
95.4%
Yes
96.6¢
No
5.6¢
Martin Zamora
Republican party
4.6%
Yes
5.3¢
No
97.2¢
Martin Zamora
Republican party
4.6%
Yes
5.3¢
No
97.2¢
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Buy
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Dollars
NM-03 House winner?
Teresa Leger Fernández
YES 96.6¢
NO 5.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Fernández
Nov 3
·
D +19.4
margin forecast
Zamora
$8,175 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NM-03 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Teresa Leger Fernandez (D)
Running for re-election
NM-03 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Martin Zamora
R
$598.7K
5.1%
$598.7K raised
·
5.1% small donors
Teresa Leger
D
$1.6M
8.5%
$1.6M raised
·
8.5% small donors
Fernández vs. Zamora Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Fernández 95%
Zamora 5% · $7,228 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NM-03 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +4.8%
2020
D +10.8%