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  1. House

NM-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Gabe Vasquez
Democratic party
90.1%
▼ 1.4

Gabe Vasquez

Democratic party
90.1%
▼ 1.4
Greg Cunningham
Republican party
9.9%
▲ 1.4

Greg Cunningham

Republican party
9.9%
▲ 1.4
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NM-02 House winner?

Gabe Vasquez

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Vasquez
Nov 3 ·D +10.7margin forecast
Cunningham
$75,393 vol
Race Intel

NM-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGabe Vasquez (D)Running for re-election

NM-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Gabe VasquezD44.7%
    44.7%
    $3.8M
    10%
    $3.8M raised·10% small donors
  • Greg CunninghamR43.3%
    43.3%
    $1.5M
    9.2%
    $1.5M raised·9.2% small donors

Vasquez vs. Cunningham Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageVasquez +1.444.7% vs. 43.3%
Kalshi oddsVasquez 90%Cunningham 10% · $62.9K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NM-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.9%2020D +5.9%