Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive118AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE118
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Josh Harder
Democratic party
99.2%

Josh Harder

Democratic party
99.2%
John McBride
Republican party
0.8%

John McBride

Republican party
0.8%
People are also trading
Series Image
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Series Image
California's 9th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Series Image
CA-22 House winner?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Series Image
CA-45 House winner?
Series Image
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
Series Image
Oakland Mayor winner?
Series Image
CA-21 House winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor raceCA-03 House raceCA-49 House raceCA-41 House raceCA-45 House raceCA-47 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate raceMichigan Senate raceOhio Senate raceMaine Senate raceNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate raceIowa Senate raceTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaGeorgia Senate raceNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Arkansas Senate raceMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxMassachusetts Governor raceNew Hampshire Governor raceWisconsin Governor raceArizona Governor raceNebraska Governor race: Democratic vs. RepublicanOklahoma Governor raceWyoming Governor raceSouth Dakota Governor race
CA-09 House winner?

Josh Harder

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Harder
Nov 3 ·D +23.2margin forecast
McBride
$6,548 vol
Race Intel

CA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJosh Harder (D)Running for re-election

CA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John McBrideR
    $54.2K
    10%
    $54.2K raised·10% small donors
  • Josh HarderD
    $4.4M
    9.4%
    $4.4M raised·9.4% small donors

Harder vs. McBride Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsHarder 99%McBride 1% · $6,549 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +11.4%2020D +26.2%