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House
CA-22 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Randy Villegas
Democratic party
88%
▼ 1
Yes
90.1¢
No
12¢
Randy Villegas
Democratic party
88%
▼ 1
Yes
90.1¢
No
12¢
David Valadao
Republican party
12%
▲ 1
Yes
11¢
No
90.2¢
David Valadao
Republican party
12%
▲ 1
Yes
11¢
No
90.2¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-22 House winner?
Randy Villegas
YES 90.1¢
NO 12¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Villegas
Nov 3
·
D +7.8
margin forecast
Valadao
$156,531 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-22 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
David Valadao (R)
Running for re-election
CA-22 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
David Valadao
R
$4.9M
2.0%
$4.9M raised
·
2.0% small donors
Randy Villegas
D
$2.6M
29%
$2.6M raised
·
29% small donors
Villegas vs. Valadao Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Villegas 88%
Valadao 12% · $149.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-22 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +1.8%
2020
D +17.0%