Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive102AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE102
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-45 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Derek Tran
Democratic party
90.8%
▼ 2.2

Derek Tran

Democratic party
90.8%
▼ 2.2
Chuong Vo
Republican party
9.2%
▲ 2.2

Chuong Vo

Republican party
9.2%
▲ 2.2
People are also trading
Series Image
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Series Image
California's 45th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Series Image
CA-22 House winner?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Series Image
CA-13 House winner?
Series Image
Oakland Mayor winner?
Series Image
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
Series Image
CA-49 House winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-34 House raceCA-07 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Delaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderySouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. Love
CA-45 House winner?

Derek Tran

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tran
Nov 3 ·D +13.9margin forecast
Vo
$117,391 vol
Race Intel

CA-45 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDerek Tran (D)Running for re-election

CA-45 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chuong VoR
    $844K
    27%
    $844K raised·27% small donors
  • Derek TranD
    $5M
    16%
    $5M raised·16% small donors

Tran vs. Vo Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsTran 91%Vo 9% · $111.9K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-45 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.0%2020D +10.1%