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House
CA-03 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Ami Bera
Democratic party
97.9%
Yes
96¢
No
5.6¢
Ami Bera
Democratic party
97.9%
Yes
96¢
No
5.6¢
Robb Tucker
Republican party
2.1%
Yes
4.4¢
No
97.6¢
Robb Tucker
Republican party
2.1%
Yes
4.4¢
No
97.6¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-03 House winner?
Ami Bera
YES 96¢
NO 5.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Bera
Nov 3
·
D +23.6
margin forecast
Tucker
$30,319 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-03 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Kevin Kiley (I)
CA-03 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Ami Bera
D
$1.4M
4.0%
$1.4M raised
·
4.0% small donors
Robb Tucker
R
$294.3K
4.4%
$294.3K raised
·
4.4% small donors
Bera vs. Tucker Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Bera 98%
Tucker 2% · $22.9K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-03 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +10.2%
2020
D +14.0%