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  1. House

TX-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Joaquin Castro
Democratic party
92.7%
▼ 2

Joaquin Castro

Democratic party
92.7%
▼ 2
Edgardo Baez
Republican party
7.3%
▲ 2

Edgardo Baez

Republican party
7.3%
▲ 2
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TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Castro
Nov 3 ·D +41.9margin forecast
Baez
$4,807 vol
Race Intel

TX-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoaquin Castro (D)Running for re-election

TX-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Edgardo BaezR
    $66.7K
    6.8%
    $66.7K raised·6.8% small donors
  • Joaquin CastroD
    $586.1K
    7.9%
    $586.1K raised·7.9% small donors

Castro vs. Baez Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCastro 93%Baez 7% · $1,467 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +28.4%2020D +40.2%