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House
TN-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Charlie Hatcher
Republican party
91.8%
▲ 1.7
Yes
91.5¢
No
9.8¢
Charlie Hatcher
Republican party
91.8%
▲ 1.7
Yes
91.5¢
No
9.8¢
Chaz Molder
Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 1.7
Yes
9.7¢
No
91.8¢
Chaz Molder
Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 1.7
Yes
9.7¢
No
91.8¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
TN-05 House winner?
Charlie Hatcher
YES 91.5¢
NO 9.8¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Molder
Nov 3
·
R +10.9
margin forecast
Hatcher
$63,938 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
TN-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Andrew Ogles (R)
Running for re-election
TN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Charlie Hatcher
R
$1.7M
1.5%
$1.7M raised
·
1.5% small donors
Chaz Molder
D
$2.6M
11%
$2.6M raised
·
11% small donors
Hatcher vs. Molder Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Hatcher 92%
Molder 8% · $50.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TN-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +23.1%
2020
R +16.4%