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  1. House

TN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Charlie Hatcher
Republican party
91.8%
▲ 1.7

Charlie Hatcher

Republican party
91.8%
▲ 1.7

Chaz Molder
Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 1.7

Chaz Molder

Democratic party
8.2%
▼ 1.7

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TN-05 House election: Chaz Molder vote percent
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TN-05 House election: Charlie Hatcher vote percent

More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green

Control of Congress

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TN-05 House winner?

Charlie Hatcher

Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Molder
Nov 3 ·R +10.9margin forecast
Hatcher
$63,938 vol
Race Intel

TN-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAndrew Ogles (R)Running for re-election

TN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Charlie HatcherR
    $1.7M
    1.5%
    $1.7M raised·1.5% small donors
  • Chaz MolderD
    $2.6M
    11%
    $2.6M raised·11% small donors

Hatcher vs. Molder Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsHatcher 92%Molder 8% · $50.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +23.1%2020R +16.4%