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House
NY-24 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Claudia Tenney
Republican party
97.3%
▲ 1.9
Yes
97.6¢
No
3.7¢
Claudia Tenney
Republican party
97.3%
▲ 1.9
Yes
97.6¢
No
3.7¢
Alissa Ellman
Democratic party
2.7%
▼ 1.9
Yes
2.8¢
No
99.4¢
Alissa Ellman
Democratic party
2.7%
▼ 1.9
Yes
2.8¢
No
99.4¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
NY-24 House winner?
Claudia Tenney
YES 97.6¢
NO 3.7¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Ellman
Nov 3
·
R +19.6
margin forecast
Tenney
$34,059 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NY-24 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Claudia Tenney (R)
Running for re-election
NY-24 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Alissa Ellman
D
$416.4K
39%
$416.4K raised
·
39% small donors
Claudia Tenney
R
$3.1M
10%
$3.1M raised
·
10% small donors
Todd Sloan
I
$205.4K
0.0%
$205.4K raised
·
0.0% small donors
Tenney vs. Ellman Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Tenney 97%
Ellman 3% · $18.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NY-24 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +23.1%
2020
R +20.3%