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House
NM-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Melanie Stansbury
Democratic party
98.3%
Yes
97.8¢
No
4.9¢
Melanie Stansbury
Democratic party
98.3%
Yes
97.8¢
No
4.9¢
Didi Okpareke
Republican party
1.7%
Yes
4.4¢
No
98.3¢
Didi Okpareke
Republican party
1.7%
Yes
4.4¢
No
98.3¢
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Buy
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Dollars
NM-01 House winner?
Melanie Stansbury
YES 97.8¢
NO 4.9¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Stansbury
Nov 3
·
D +23.1
margin forecast
Okpareke
$14,357 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NM-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Melanie Stansbury (D)
Running for re-election
NM-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Didi Okpareke
R
$100.3K
15%
$100.3K raised
·
15% small donors
Melanie Stansbury
D
$1.7M
34%
$1.7M raised
·
34% small donors
Stansbury vs. Okpareke Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Stansbury 98%
Okpareke 2% · $6,136 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NM-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +12.9%
2020
D +14.4%