Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

IL-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Sean Casten
Democratic party
94.7%

Sean Casten

Democratic party
94.7%
Niki Conforti
Republican party
5.3%

Niki Conforti

Republican party
5.3%
People are also trading
Series Image
Illinois's 6th District margin of victory
Series Image
Illinois 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
IL-06 House election: Niki Conforti vote percent
Series Image
IL-06 House election: Sean Casten vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?

More Illinois and 2026 Midterm Races

More Illinois races

Illinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. Tracy

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaAlaska Senate raceMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
IL-06 House winner?

Sean Casten

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Casten
Nov 3 ·D +17.5margin forecast
Conforti
$2,115 vol
Race Intel

IL-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSean Casten (D)Running for re-election

IL-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Niki ConfortiR
    $346.3K
    59%
    $346.3K raised·59% small donors
  • Sean CastenD
    $2.5M
    8.3%
    $2.5M raised·8.3% small donors

Casten vs. Conforti Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCasten 95%Conforti 5% · $826.32 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IL-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +5.5%2020D +10.9%