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  1. House

FL-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

John Rutherford
Republican party
93.3%

John Rutherford

Republican party
93.3%

Rachel Grage
Democratic party
6.7%

Rachel Grage

Democratic party
6.7%

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FL-05 House election: Rachel Grage vote percent
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FL-05 House winner?

John Rutherford

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Grage
Nov 3 ·R +13.0margin forecast
Rutherford
$14,722 vol
Race Intel

FL-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Rutherford (R)Running for re-election

FL-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John RutherfordR
    $895.4K
    0.1%
    $895.4K raised·0.1% small donors
  • Rachel GrageD
    $417.2K
    19%
    $417.2K raised·19% small donors

Rutherford vs. Grage Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsRutherford 93%Grage 7% · $12.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.3%2020R +15.7%