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House
FL-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John Rutherford
Republican party
93.3%
Yes
93.7¢
No
7.1¢
John Rutherford
Republican party
93.3%
Yes
93.7¢
No
7.1¢
Rachel Grage
Democratic party
6.7%
Yes
6.3¢
No
94.4¢
Rachel Grage
Democratic party
6.7%
Yes
6.3¢
No
94.4¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
FL-05 House winner?
John Rutherford
YES 93.7¢
NO 7.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Grage
Nov 3
·
R +13.0
margin forecast
Rutherford
$14,722 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
FL-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
John Rutherford (R)
Running for re-election
FL-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
John Rutherford
R
$895.4K
0.1%
$895.4K raised
·
0.1% small donors
Rachel Grage
D
$417.2K
19%
$417.2K raised
·
19% small donors
Rutherford vs. Grage Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Rutherford 93%
Grage 7% · $12.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past FL-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +21.3%
2020
R +15.7%