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House
CA-39 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mark Takano
Democratic party
97.3%
Yes
98.7¢
No
4.6¢
Mark Takano
Democratic party
97.3%
Yes
98.7¢
No
4.6¢
Steve Manos
Republican party
2.7%
Yes
4.6¢
No
99.2¢
Steve Manos
Republican party
2.7%
Yes
4.6¢
No
99.2¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-39 House winner?
Mark Takano
YES 98.7¢
NO 4.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Takano
Nov 3
·
D +22.0
margin forecast
Manos
$4,754 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
· California
CA-39 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mark Takano (D)
Running for re-election
CA-39 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Mark Takano
D
$1.1M
11%
$1.1M raised
·
11% small donors
Steve Manos
R
$11.4K
9.0%
$11.4K raised
·
9.0% small donors
Takano vs. Manos Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Takano 97%
Manos 3% · $4,156 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-39 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +9.6%
2020
D +26.0%