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  1. House

CA-24 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Salud Carbajal
Democratic party
98%

Salud Carbajal

Democratic party
98%
Bob Smith
Republican party
2%

Bob Smith

Republican party
2%
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CA-24 House winner?

Salud Carbajal

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Carbajal
Nov 3 ·D +28.9margin forecast
Smith
$25,019 vol
Race Intel

CA-24 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSalud Carbajal (D)Running for re-election

CA-24 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bob SmithR
    $203.3K
    16%
    $203.3K raised·16% small donors
  • Salud CarbajalD
    $1.9M
    1.6%
    $1.9M raised·1.6% small donors

Carbajal vs. Smith Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCarbajal 98%Smith 2% · $14.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-24 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +25.0%2020D +29.0%