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  1. House

MN-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom Emmer
Republican party
95.1%

Tom Emmer

Republican party
95.1%
Doug Chapin
Democratic (DFL) party
4.9%

Doug Chapin

Democratic (DFL) party
4.9%
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MN-06 House winner?

Tom Emmer

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Chapin
Nov 3 ·R +14.3margin forecast
Emmer
$37,761 vol
Race Intel

MN-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Emmer (R)Running for re-election

MN-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Doug ChapinD
    $691.2K
    39%
    $691.2K raised·39% small donors
  • Tom EmmerR
    $10.7M
    7.2%
    $10.7M raised·7.2% small donors

Emmer vs. Chapin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsEmmer 95%Chapin 5% · $25.7K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MN-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +19.7%2020R +17.6%