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House
LA-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Republican party
95.1%
Yes
96.5¢
No
6¢
Republican party
95.1%
Yes
96.5¢
No
6¢
Democratic party
4.9%
Yes
4.7¢
No
98.4¢
Democratic party
4.9%
Yes
4.7¢
No
98.4¢
People are also trading
Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory
Louisiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout
LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
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Buy
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Dollars
LA-04 House winner?
Republican party
YES 96.5¢
NO 6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Democrat
Nov 3
·
R +25.2
margin forecast
Republican
$32,891 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
· Louisiana
LA-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mike Johnson (R)
Running for re-election
LA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Matt Gromlich
D
$445.6K
12%
$445.6K raised
·
12% small donors
Mike Johnson
R
$24.2M
17%
$24.2M raised
·
17% small donors
Johnson vs. Gromlich Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Johnson 95%
Gromlich 5% · $3,176 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past LA-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +29.9%
2020
R +34.2%