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  1. House

KY-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Hal Rogers
Republican party
96.4%
▲ 0.9

Hal Rogers

Republican party
96.4%
▲ 0.9
Ned Pillersdorf
Democratic party
3.6%
▼ 0.9

Ned Pillersdorf

Democratic party
3.6%
▼ 0.9
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KY-05 House winner?

Hal Rogers

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Pillersdorf
Nov 3 ·R +51.1margin forecast
Rogers
$6,255 vol
Race Intel

KY-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentHarold Rogers (R)Running for re-election

KY-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Harold RogersR
    $972.7K
    0.1%
    $972.7K raised·0.1% small donors
  • Ned PillersdorfD
    $367.9K
    11%
    $367.9K raised·11% small donors

Rogers vs. Pillersdorf Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsRogers 96%Pillersdorf 4% · $2,119 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +63.9%2020R +59.4%