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  1. House

CA-39 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Mark Takano
Democratic party
97.3%

Mark Takano

Democratic party
97.3%

Steve Manos
Republican party
2.7%

Steve Manos

Republican party
2.7%

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CA-39 House winner?

Mark Takano

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Takano
Nov 3 ·D +22.0margin forecast
Manos
$4,754 vol
Race Intel· California

CA-39 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMark Takano (D)Running for re-election

CA-39 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Mark TakanoD
    $1.1M
    11%
    $1.1M raised·11% small donors
  • Steve ManosR
    $11.4K
    9.0%
    $11.4K raised·9.0% small donors

Takano vs. Manos Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsTakano 97%Manos 3% · $4,156 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-39 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +9.6%2020D +26.0%