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  1. House

TX-38 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jon Bonck
Republican party
92%

Jon Bonck

Republican party
92%
Melissa McDonough
Democratic party
8%

Melissa McDonough

Democratic party
8%
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TX-38 House winner?

Jon Bonck

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McDonough
Nov 3 ·R +12.0margin forecast
Bonck
$22,620 vol
Race Intel

TX-38 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentWesley Hunt (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-38 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jon BonckR
    $2.2M
    1.4%
    $2.2M raised·1.4% small donors
  • Melissa McDonoughD
    $117.1K
    16%
    $117.1K raised·16% small donors

Bonck vs. McDonough Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsBonck 92%McDonough 8% · $8,395 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-38 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +20.9%2020R +17.9%