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  1. House

TX-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Veronica Escobar
Democratic party
97%

Veronica Escobar

Democratic party
97%
Adam Bauman
Republican party
3%

Adam Bauman

Republican party
3%
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TX-16 House winner?

Veronica Escobar

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Escobar
Nov 3 ·D +31.5margin forecast
Bauman
$4,021 vol
Race Intel

TX-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentVeronica Escobar (D)Running for re-election

TX-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adam BaumanR
    —
    —
  • Veronica EscobarD
    $1M
    2.5%
    $1M raised·2.5% small donors

Escobar vs. Bauman Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsEscobar 97%Bauman 3% · $683.09 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +16.4%2020D +35.6%