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  1. House

TX-10 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Gober
Republican party
90.7%

Chris Gober

Republican party
90.7%
Caitlin Rourk
Democratic party
9.3%

Caitlin Rourk

Democratic party
9.3%
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More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Nebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz
TX-10 House winner?

Chris Gober

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Rourk
Nov 3 ·R +11.3margin forecast
Gober
$12,848 vol
Race Intel

TX-10 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael McCaul (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-10 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Caitlin RourkD
    $531K
    31%
    $531K raised·31% small donors
  • Chris GoberR
    $3M
    0.4%
    $3M raised·0.4% small donors

Gober vs. Rourk Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGober 91%Rourk 9% · $8,672 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-10 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.6%2020R +14.8%