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  1. House

NY-25 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Joseph Morelle
Democratic party
96.6%

Joseph Morelle

Democratic party
96.6%
Virginia McIntyre
Republican party
3.4%

Virginia McIntyre

Republican party
3.4%
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NY-25 House winner?

Joseph Morelle

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Morelle
Nov 3 ·D +32.2margin forecast
McIntyre
$20,123 vol
Race Intel

NY-25 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoseph Morelle (D)Running for re-election

NY-25 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Joe MorelleD
    $2.2M
    3.1%
    $2.2M raised·3.1% small donors
  • Virginia McIntyreR
    $30K
    18%
    $30K raised·18% small donors

Morelle vs. McIntyre Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMorelle 97%McIntyre 3% · $1,551 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-25 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.4%2020D +20.6%