Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

NY-07 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Claire Valdez
Democratic party
96.8%

Claire Valdez

Democratic party
96.8%
Melvin Rivera
Republican party
3.2%

Melvin Rivera

Republican party
3.2%
People are also trading
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
New York's 7th District margin of victory
Series Image
New York 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
New York Attorney General winner?
Series Image
NY-17 House winner?
Series Image
NY-02 House winner?
Series Image
NY-01 House winner?
Series Image
NY-21 House winner?
Series Image
NY-04 House winner?
Series Image
NY-03 House winner?

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanNY-17 House raceNY-01 House raceNY-03 House raceNY-21 House raceNY-04 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Colorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxAlaska Governor raceNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. Block
NY-07 House winner?

Claire Valdez

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Valdez
Nov 3 ·D +54.1margin forecast
Rivera
$9,924 vol
Race Intel

NY-07 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentNydia Velazquez (D)Not seeking re-election

NY-07 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Claire ValdezD
    $1.7M
    37%
    $1.7M raised·37% small donors
  • Melvin RiveraR
    —
    —

Valdez vs. Rivera Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsValdez 97%Rivera 3% · $452.83 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-07 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +45.9%2020D +60.5%