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  1. House

NJ-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Herb Conaway
Democratic party
96.5%
▼ 2.2

Herb Conaway

Democratic party
96.5%
▼ 2.2
Michael McGuire
Republican party
3.5%
▲ 2.2

Michael McGuire

Republican party
3.5%
▲ 2.2
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NJ-03 House election: Herb Conaway vote percent
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NJ-03 House election: Michael McGuire vote percent

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NJ-03 House winner?

Herb Conaway

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Conaway
Nov 3 ·D +24.5margin forecast
McGuire
$6,764 vol
Race Intel

NJ-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentHerbert Conaway (D)Running for re-election

NJ-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Herb ConawayD
    $1.1M
    6.4%
    $1.1M raised·6.4% small donors
  • Michael McGuireR
    $210.5K
    3.5%
    $210.5K raised·3.5% small donors

Conaway vs. McGuire Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsConaway 97%McGuire 4% · $5,838 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NJ-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +8.4%2020D +14.0%