Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

MT-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Troy Downing
Republican party
98.2%
▲ 1.1

Troy Downing

Republican party
98.2%
▲ 1.1
Brian Miller
Democratic party
1.8%
▼ 1.1

Brian Miller

Democratic party
1.8%
▼ 1.1
People are also trading
Series Image
Montana Senate winner?
Series Image
Montana's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Montana 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
MT-01 House winner?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in Montana?
Series Image
Montana Supreme Court winner?
Series Image
MT-02 House election: Brian Miller vote percent
Series Image
MT-02 House election: Troy Downing vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?

More Montana and 2026 Midterm Races

More Montana races

Montana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarMT-01 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
MT-02 House winner?

Troy Downing

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Miller
Nov 3 ·R +23.3margin forecast
Downing
$20,486 vol
Race Intel

MT-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTroy Downing (R)Running for re-election

MT-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brian MillerD
    $30.7K
    32%
    $30.7K raised·32% small donors
  • Michael EisenhauerI
    $296.8K
    0.9%
    $296.8K raised·0.9% small donors
  • Troy DowningR
    $2.7M
    21%
    $2.7M raised·21% small donors

Downing vs. Miller Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsDowning 98%Miller 2% · $6,804 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.5%2020R +26.8%