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  1. House

MS-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Trent Kelly
Republican party
97.4%

Trent Kelly

Republican party
97.4%
Cliff Johnson
Democratic party
2.6%

Cliff Johnson

Democratic party
2.6%
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MS-01 House winner?

Trent Kelly

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Johnson
Nov 3 ·R +29.9margin forecast
Kelly
$20,937 vol
Race Intel

MS-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTrent Kelly (R)Running for re-election

MS-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Cliff JohnsonD
    $808.7K
    26%
    $808.7K raised·26% small donors
  • Trent KellyR
    $1.3M
    1.4%
    $1.3M raised·1.4% small donors

Kelly vs. Johnson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsKelly 97%Johnson 3% · $17.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MS-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +37.0%2020R +31.7%