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  1. House

MO-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Stigall
Republican party
95.4%
▼ 1.4

Chris Stigall

Republican party
95.4%
▼ 1.4
Josh Smead
Democratic party
4.6%
▲ 1.4

Josh Smead

Democratic party
4.6%
▲ 1.4
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MO-06 House election: Chris Stigall vote percent
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MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent

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MO-06 House winner?

Chris Stigall

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Smead
Nov 3 ·R +28.0margin forecast
Stigall
$31,053 vol
Race Intel

MO-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSam Graves (R)Not seeking re-election

MO-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chris StigallR
    $969K
    3.0%
    $969K raised·3.0% small donors
  • Josh SmeadD
    $71.9K
    44%
    $71.9K raised·44% small donors

Stigall vs. Smead Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsStigall 95%Smead 5% · $5,958 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MO-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +26.6%2020R +24.9%