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House
KY-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Hal Rogers
Republican party
95.5%
Yes
97.5¢
No
3.6¢
Hal Rogers
Republican party
95.5%
Yes
97.5¢
No
3.6¢
Ned Pillersdorf
Democratic party
4.5%
Yes
3.6¢
No
98.2¢
Ned Pillersdorf
Democratic party
4.5%
Yes
3.6¢
No
98.2¢
People are also trading
Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory
KY-05 House election: Ned Pillersdorf vote percent
KY-05 House election: Harold Rogers vote percent
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Dollars
KY-05 House winner?
Hal Rogers
YES 97.5¢
NO 3.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Pillersdorf
Nov 3
·
R +51.2
margin forecast
Rogers
$6,230 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
KY-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Harold Rogers (R)
Running for re-election
KY-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Harold Rogers
R
$972.7K
0.1%
$972.7K raised
·
0.1% small donors
Ned Pillersdorf
D
$367.9K
11%
$367.9K raised
·
11% small donors
Rogers vs. Pillersdorf Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Rogers 96%
Pillersdorf 5% · $2,094 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past KY-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +63.9%
2020
R +59.4%