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  1. House

KY-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Morgan McGarvey
Democratic party
97.4%

Morgan McGarvey

Democratic party
97.4%
Maria Rodriguez
Republican party
2.6%

Maria Rodriguez

Republican party
2.6%
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KY-03 House election: Maria Teresa Rodriguez vote percent
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More Kentucky and 2026 Midterm Races

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KY-03 House winner?

Morgan McGarvey

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McGarvey
Nov 3 ·D +29.8margin forecast
Rodriguez
$11,647 vol
Race Intel

KY-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMorgan McGarvey (D)Running for re-election

KY-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Maria Teresa RodriguezR
    $38.1K
    11%
    $38.1K raised·11% small donors
  • Morgan McGarveyD
    $2M
    8.6%
    $2M raised·8.6% small donors

McGarvey vs. Rodriguez Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMcGarvey 97%Rodriguez 3% · $3,949 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.9%2020D +22.3%