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House
IN-08 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mary Allen
Democratic party
2.4%
▼ 5.2
Yes
6.7¢
No
97.6¢
Mary Allen
Democratic party
2.4%
▼ 5.2
Yes
6.7¢
No
97.6¢
Mark Messmer
Republican party
97.6%
▲ 5.2
Yes
97.6¢
No
6.7¢
Mark Messmer
Republican party
97.6%
▲ 5.2
Yes
97.6¢
No
6.7¢
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Buy
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Dollars
IN-08 House winner?
Mary Allen
YES 6.7¢
NO 97.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
7% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Allen
Nov 3
·
R +28.6
margin forecast
Messmer
$6,957 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
IN-08 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mark Messmer (R)
Running for re-election
IN-08 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Mark Messmer
R
$1.4M
0.5%
$1.4M raised
·
0.5% small donors
Mary Allen
D
$466.9K
35%
$466.9K raised
·
35% small donors
Messmer vs. Allen Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Messmer 98%
Allen 2% · $6,831 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IN-08 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +36.5%
2020
R +32.8%