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  1. House

ID-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Simpson
Republican party
95.4%

Mike Simpson

Republican party
95.4%
Elinor Gilbreath
Democratic party
4.6%

Elinor Gilbreath

Democratic party
4.6%
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Idaho's 2nd District margin of victory
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ID-02 House election: Elinor Gilbreath vote percent
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ID-02 House election: Mike Simpson vote percent
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Texas Senate winner?
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More Idaho and 2026 Midterm Races

More Idaho races

Idaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesIdaho Governor race: Little vs. Pickens

Control of Congress

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ID-02 House winner?

Mike Simpson

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Gilbreath
Nov 3 ·R +19.1margin forecast
Simpson
$9,316 vol
Race Intel

ID-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael Simpson (R)Running for re-election

ID-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Elinor GilbreathD
    $161.2K
    20%
    $161.2K raised·20% small donors
  • Mike SimpsonR
    $1.3M
    0.2%
    $1.3M raised·0.2% small donors

Simpson vs. Gilbreath Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSimpson 95%Gilbreath 5% · $6,308 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past ID-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +26.7%2020R +22.9%