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House
HI-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jill Tokuda
Democratic party
96.3%
▲ 1.4
Yes
96.5¢
No
4.1¢
Jill Tokuda
Democratic party
96.3%
▲ 1.4
Yes
96.5¢
No
4.1¢
Brenton Awa
Republican party
3.7%
▼ 1.4
Yes
5¢
No
96.8¢
Brenton Awa
Republican party
3.7%
▼ 1.4
Yes
5¢
No
96.8¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
HI-02 House winner?
Jill Tokuda
YES 96.5¢
NO 4.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Tokuda
Nov 4
·
D +34.9
margin forecast
Awa
$52,453 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
HI-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 4, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jill Tokuda (D)
Running for re-election
HI-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Brenton Awa
R
$129.3K
11%
$129.3K raised
·
11% small donors
Jill Tokuda
D
$939.1K
9.6%
$939.1K raised
·
9.6% small donors
Tokuda vs. Awa Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Tokuda 96%
Awa 4% · $37.7K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past HI-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +21.6%
2020
D +29.5%