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  1. House

FL-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Sydney Gruters
Republican party
80%
▼ 1

Sydney Gruters

Republican party
80%
▼ 1
Kelly Kirschner
Democratic party
20%
▲ 1

Kelly Kirschner

Democratic party
20%
▲ 1
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Florida's 16th District margin of victory
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FL-16 House election: Kelly Kirschner vote percent
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FL-16 House election: Sydney Gruters vote percent
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FL-16 House winner?

Sydney Gruters

Odds
83% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Kirschner
Nov 3 ·R +6.7margin forecast
Gruters
$21,902 vol
Race Intel

FL-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentVern Buchanan (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kelly KirschnerD
    $751.6K
    12%
    $751.6K raised·12% small donors
  • Sydney GrutersR
    $1.6M
    0.3%
    $1.6M raised·0.3% small donors

Gruters vs. Kirschner Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGruters 80%Kirschner 20% · $18.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.6%2020R +5.5%