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  1. House

CA-52 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Juan Vargas
Democratic party
95.2%

Juan Vargas

Democratic party
95.2%
Jeff Belle
Republican party
4.8%

Jeff Belle

Republican party
4.8%
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CA-52 House winner?

Juan Vargas

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Vargas
Nov 3 ·D +31.0margin forecast
Belle
$17,418 vol
Race Intel

CA-52 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJuan Vargas (D)Running for re-election

CA-52 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jeff BelleR
    $26.3K
    2.6%
    $26.3K raised·2.6% small donors
  • Juan VargasD
    $791K
    0.1%
    $791K raised·0.1% small donors

Vargas vs. Belle Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsVargas 95%Belle 5% · $15.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-52 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +17.6%2020D +33.2%