Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive112AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE112
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-36 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ted Lieu
Democratic party
98.5%

Ted Lieu

Democratic party
98.5%
Houston Brignano
Republican party
1.5%

Houston Brignano

Republican party
1.5%
People are also trading
Series Image
California 36 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
California's 36th District margin of victory
Series Image
CA-36 House election: Houston Brignano vote percent
Series Image
CA-36 House election: Ted Lieu vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor raceCA-03 House raceCA-49 House raceCA-41 House raceCA-45 House raceCA-47 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate raceMichigan Senate raceOhio Senate raceMaine Senate raceNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate raceIowa Senate raceTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaGeorgia Senate raceNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Kentucky Senate raceAlabama Senate raceVirginia Senate raceIdaho Senate raceNew Mexico Senate raceNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesTennessee Senate raceWest Virginia Senate race
CA-36 House winner?

Ted Lieu

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lieu
Nov 3 ·D +46.6margin forecast
Brignano
$6,172 vol
Race Intel

CA-36 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTed Lieu (D)Running for re-election

CA-36 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Houston BrignanoR
    $11.6K
    16%
    $11.6K raised·16% small donors
  • Ted LieuD
    $1.8M
    1.9%
    $1.8M raised·1.9% small donors

Lieu vs. Brignano Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsLieu 99%Brignano 2% · $4,972 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-36 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +39.1%2020D +44.1%