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  1. House

CA-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike McGuire
Democratic party
96%

Mike McGuire

Democratic party
96%
James Gallagher
Republican party
4%

James Gallagher

Republican party
4%
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CA-01 House winner?

Mike McGuire

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McGuire
Nov 3 ·D +16.1margin forecast
Gallagher
$18,057 vol
Race Intel

CA-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJames Gallagher (R)Running for re-election

CA-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • James GallagherR
    $1.5M
    5.0%
    $1.5M raised·5.0% small donors
  • Mike McGuireD
    $1.8M
    26%
    $1.8M raised·26% small donors

McGuire vs. Gallagher Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMcGuire 96%Gallagher 4% · $15.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +12.2%2020D +17.9%