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  1. House

AZ-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Greg Stanton
Democratic party
92.4%

Greg Stanton

Democratic party
92.4%
Zuhdi Jasser
Republican party
7.6%

Zuhdi Jasser

Republican party
7.6%
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Arizona's 4th District margin of victory
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AZ-04 House election: Greg Stanton vote percent
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AZ-04 House election: Zuhdi Jasser vote percent
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More Arizona and 2026 Midterm Races

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AZ-04 House winner?

Greg Stanton

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Stanton
Nov 3 ·D +17.2margin forecast
Jasser
$25,440 vol
Race Intel

AZ-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGreg Stanton (D)Running for re-election

AZ-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Greg StantonD
    $2.6M
    4.3%
    $2.6M raised·4.3% small donors
  • Zuhdi JasserR
    $732.9K
    7.1%
    $732.9K raised·7.1% small donors

Stanton vs. Jasser Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsStanton 92%Jasser 8% · $12.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.6%2020D +10.3%