Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive179AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE179
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

AL-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Rhett Marques
Republican party
69%
▼ 2

Rhett Marques

Republican party
69%
▼ 2

Shomari Figures
Democratic party
31%
▲ 2

Shomari Figures

Democratic party
31%
▲ 2

People are also trading
Series Image
Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Alabama 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
AL-02 House election: Rhett Marques vote percent
Series Image
AL-02 House election: Shomari Figures vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?

More Alabama and 2026 Midterm Races

More Alabama races

Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. Wess

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
AL-02 House winner?

Rhett Marques

Odds
73% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Figures
Nov 3 ·D +3.5margin forecast
Marques
$338,227 vol
Race Intel

AL-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentShomari Figures (D)Running for re-election

AL-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Rhett MarquesR
    $1.3M
    0.7%
    $1.3M raised·0.7% small donors
  • Shomari FiguresD
    $2.4M
    10%
    $2.4M raised·10% small donors

Marques vs. Figures Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMarques 69%Figures 31% · $328.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AL-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +14.3%2020R +8.6%