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  1. House

WA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Adam Smith
Democratic party
95.6%

Adam Smith

Democratic party
95.6%
Doug Basler
Republican party
2%

Doug Basler

Republican party
2%
Kshama Sawant
Independent
No

Kshama Sawant

Independent
No
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WA-09 House winner?

Adam Smith

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Smith
Nov 3 ·D +51.6margin forecast
Basler
$19,537 vol
Race Intel

WA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAdam Smith (D)Running for re-election

WA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Adam SmithD
    $2.1M
    5.3%
    $2.1M raised·5.3% small donors
  • Doug BaslerR
    $32.8K
    16%
    $32.8K raised·16% small donors

Smith vs. Basler Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSmith 96%Basler 2% · $18.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past WA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +41.0%2020D +45.2%