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  1. House

PA-11 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Lloyd Smucker
Republican party
95.5%
▼ 0.8

Lloyd Smucker

Republican party
95.5%
▼ 0.8
Nancy Mannion
Democratic party
4.5%
▲ 0.8

Nancy Mannion

Democratic party
4.5%
▲ 0.8
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PA-11 House winner?

Lloyd Smucker

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Mannion
Nov 3 ·R +16.7margin forecast
Smucker
$10,896 vol
Race Intel

PA-11 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentLloyd Smucker (R)Running for re-election

PA-11 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Lloyd SmuckerR
    $1.8M
    0.4%
    $1.8M raised·0.4% small donors
  • Nancy MannionD
    $304.5K
    24%
    $304.5K raised·24% small donors

Smucker vs. Mannion Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSmucker 96%Mannion 5% · $8,983 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-11 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.4%2020R +21.3%