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  1. House

OH-15 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Carey
Republican party
71%
▼ 2

Mike Carey

Republican party
71%
▼ 2
Don Leonard
Democratic party
29%
▲ 2

Don Leonard

Democratic party
29%
▲ 2
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OH-15 House winner?

Mike Carey

Odds
74% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Leonard
Nov 3 ·R +4.6margin forecast
Carey
$36,549 vol
Race Intel

OH-15 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMike Carey (R)Running for re-election

OH-15 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Don LeonardD
    $1.1M
    15%
    $1.1M raised·15% small donors
  • Mike CareyR
    $4M
    2.7%
    $4M raised·2.7% small donors

Carey vs. Leonard Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCarey 71%Leonard 29% · $31.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OH-15 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.0%2020R +7.3%