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  1. House

NJ-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Smith
Republican party
96.5%

Chris Smith

Republican party
96.5%
Rachel Peace
Democratic party
3.5%

Rachel Peace

Democratic party
3.5%
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NJ-04 House winner?

Chris Smith

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Peace
Nov 3 ·R +26.3margin forecast
Smith
$14,178 vol
Race Intel

NJ-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentChristopher Smith (R)Running for re-election

NJ-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chris SmithR
    $592K
    14%
    $592K raised·14% small donors
  • Rachel PeaceD
    $92.7K
    48%
    $92.7K raised·48% small donors

Smith vs. Peace Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSmith 97%Peace 4% · $3,840 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NJ-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.1%2020R +22.4%