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House
IA-02 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Lindsay James
Democratic party
61%
▲ 1
Yes
62¢
No
39¢
Lindsay James
Democratic party
61%
▲ 1
Yes
62¢
No
39¢
Joe Mitchell
Republican party
39%
▼ 1
Yes
39¢
No
62¢
Joe Mitchell
Republican party
39%
▼ 1
Yes
39¢
No
62¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
IA-02 House winner?
Lindsay James
YES 62¢
NO 39¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
64% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
James
Nov 3
·
D +2.4
margin forecast
Mitchell
$65,956 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
IA-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Ashley Hinson (R)
Not seeking re-election
IA-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Lindsay James
D
42.5%
42.5%
$3.5M
13%
$3.5M raised
·
13% small donors
Joe Mitchell
R
41.5%
41.5%
$2.7M
19%
$2.7M raised
·
19% small donors
James vs. Mitchell Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
James +1.0
42.5% vs. 41.5%
Kalshi odds
James 61%
Mitchell 39% · $56.3K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IA-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +10.0%
2020
R +4.4%