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House
CA-43 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Maxine Waters
Democratic party
98%
Yes
98.2¢
No
4.1¢
Maxine Waters
Democratic party
98%
Yes
98.2¢
No
4.1¢
Cristian Morales
Republican party
2%
Yes
3.9¢
No
98.1¢
Cristian Morales
Republican party
2%
Yes
3.9¢
No
98.1¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
CA-43 House winner?
Maxine Waters
YES 98.2¢
NO 4.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Waters
Nov 3
·
D +61.7
margin forecast
Morales
$2,772 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-43 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Maxine Waters (D)
Running for re-election
CA-43 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Cristian Morales
R
$14K
0.0%
$14K raised
·
0.0% small donors
Maxine Waters
D
$1M
3.5%
$1M raised
·
3.5% small donors
Waters vs. Morales Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Waters 98%
Morales 2% · $2,080 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-43 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +49.0%
2020
D +63.8%