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House
CT-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Jahana Hayes
Democratic party
95.1%
Yes
95.2¢
No
6.5¢
Jahana Hayes
Democratic party
95.1%
Yes
95.2¢
No
6.5¢
Chris Shea
Republican party
4.9%
Yes
5.7¢
No
96.8¢
Chris Shea
Republican party
4.9%
Yes
5.7¢
No
96.8¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
CT-05 House winner?
Jahana Hayes
YES 95.2¢
NO 6.5¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Hayes
Nov 3
·
D +16.9
margin forecast
Shea
$41,241 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CT-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jahana Hayes (D)
Running for re-election
CT-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chris Shea
R
$431K
22%
$431K raised
·
22% small donors
Jahana Hayes
D
$1.7M
11%
$1.7M raised
·
11% small donors
Hayes vs. Shea Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Hayes 95%
Shea 5% · $8,425 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CT-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +5.6%
2020
D +10.7%