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Frequency
Who will win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
António José Seguro
1.02
x
98
%
André Ventura
46.79
x
2
%
$959,187 vol
8 markets
Who will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election?
Hannah Spencer
2.29
x
42
%
Matt Goodwin
2.14
x
45
%
$54,158 vol
11 markets
Who will win the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential election?
Laura Fernández
1.08
x
92
%
Álvaro Ramos
13.41
x
7
%
$67,398 vol
9 markets
Which parties will be a part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
JA21
23.43
x
4
%
PVV
93.52
x
1
%
$34,666 vol
15 markets
Who will win the Brazil presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.83
x
53
%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3.66
x
26
%
$333,299 vol
11 markets
Margin of victory in the Portugal Presidential election runoff?
Seguro, 35 to 40%
3.52
x
27
%
Seguro, 30 to 35%
31.21
x
3
%
$13,115 vol
10 markets
Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?
Abelardo de la Espriella
2.14
x
45
%
Iván Cepeda Castro
2.66
x
36
%
$49,855 vol
12 markets
Which parties will gain seats in the 2026 Japanese House of Representatives election?
Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)
1.90
x
51
%
Democratic Party for the People
1.79
x
54
%
$12,563 vol
6 markets
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Yes
1.15
x
86
%
No
6.74
x
14
%
$14,630 vol
1 market
Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?
Jordan Bardella
2.89
x
33
%
Marine Le Pen
5.56
x
17
%
$26,478 vol
27 markets
Global right wing sweep: October 2025
Yes
46.79
x
2
%
No
1.02
x
98
%
$323,490 vol
1 market
Will anyone win outright in the Costa Rica Presidential election?
Yes
1.26
x
78
%
No
4.31
x
22
%
$10,418 vol
1 market
Who will win the 2026 Hungary general election?
Government coalition majority
1.90
x
51
%
Opposition majority
2.01
x
48
%
$11,338 vol
2 markets
Who will finish 2nd in the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?
Bhumjaithai Party
1.79
x
54
%
People's Party
2.73
x
35
%
$3,046 vol
7 markets
Who will win the next Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
PLN
31.21
x
3
%
PPSO
1.04
x
96
%
$31,599 vol
7 markets
Who will win the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election?
People's Party
1.60
x
61
%
Bhumjaithai Party
3.18
x
30
%
$28,629 vol
7 markets
Who will win the 2026 Peru Presidential election?
Rafael López Aliaga
2.01
x
48
%
Alfonso López Chau
5.25
x
18
%
$10,977 vol
16 markets
Which party will win the 2026 Hungary parliamentary election?
Fidesz-KDNP
2.05
x
47
%
TISZA
1.76
x
55
%
$1,107 vol
4 markets
Who will be the next leader of the NDP?
Avi Lewis
1.46
x
67
%
Heather McPherson
3.52
x
27
%
$3,717 vol
6 markets
Who will win the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Liberal Democratic Party
1.05
x
95
%
Centrist Reform Alliance
23.43
x
4
%
$13,992 vol
7 markets
Will any party win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Yes
1.36
x
72
%
No
3.40
x
28
%
$8,520 vol
1 market
Who will win the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Historic Pact
2.24
x
43
%
Liberal Party
3.29
x
29
%
$4,780 vol
7 markets
Will any party win a majority in the Costa Rica Legislative Assembly?
Yes
3.08
x
31
%
No
1.42
x
69
%
$1,246 vol
1 market
Who will win the Marseille mayoral election?
Benoît Payan
1.22
x
81
%
Franck Allisio
4.51
x
21
%
$1,879 vol
4 markets