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Congress

Government shutdown today?
Yes1.01x
No93.52x
$60,335,734 vol1 market
How many days will the federal government be shut down before March?
More than 3 days1.83x
More than 5 days3.18x
$2,024,800 vol8 markets
When will the government be fully funded?
Before Feb 3, 20262.29x
Before Feb 4, 20261.48x
$1,543,938 vol9 markets
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Apr 1, 20262.52x
Before May 1, 20261.40x
$97,528 vol6 markets
Who will attend the State of the Union?
Dana White
Dana White1.93x
Nicki Minaj
Nicki Minaj1.73x
$214,732 vol35 markets
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
Before 20273.18x
Before April5.56x
$1,998,725 vol5 markets
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?
Yes5.56x
No1.19x
$89,603 vol1 market
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Yes2.40x
No1.62x
$81,965 vol1 market
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Before Jan 21, 20292.66x
Before 20274.73x
$184,816 vol3 markets
How many Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair?
60 or above3.40x
49 or below4.98x
$13,724 vol12 markets
Will the House find Hillary Clinton in contempt of Congress before March?
Yes1.12x
No8.56x
$9,032 vol1 market
Who will switch or leave their party this year?
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene4.73x
Thomas Massie
Thomas Massie9.41x
$71,065 vol6 markets
Will another GOP Member of Congress call for Noem's removal?
Before Feb 9, 20261.67x
Before Feb 1, 202618.75x
$9,449 vol2 markets
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 20271.86x
Before June2.46x
$174,986 vol7 markets
Will the House find Bill Clinton in contempt of Congress before March?
Yes1.52x
No2.66x
$10,644 vol1 market
Will AI regulation become law this year?
Yes2.73x
No1.50x
$16,122 vol1 market
Who will testify in front of Congress this year?
Sam Altman
Sam Altman1.97x
Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton2.19x
$12,251 vol15 markets
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
Before 20281.97x
Before Jan 20, 20291.38x
$53,422 vol4 markets
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
Yes3.80x
No1.31x
$12,686 vol1 market
Which Senators will vote for the next Fed Chair nominee?
Maggie Hassan
Maggie Hassan1.83x
John Hickenlooper
John Hickenlooper2.34x
$20,672 vol10 markets
Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
Chuck Schumer
Chuck Schumer1.73x
Brian Schatz
Brian Schatz6.29x
$95,229 vol13 markets
How many House votes finding Bill Clinton in contempt of Congress?
Below 2501.25x
Between 270 and 2991.05x
$6,227 vol9 markets
How many House votes finding Hillary Clinton in contempt of Congress?
Below 2301.25x
Between 300 and 31993.52x
$6,980 vol8 markets
How many reconciliation bills will be passed this year?
01.44x
13.18x
$8,411 vol3 markets