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TrendingElections

Politics

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Congress

All markets
Congress
International
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.52x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.52x
$6,676,530 vol9 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.07x
$2,608,924 vol1 market
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.09x
$242,083 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$12,085,011 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
11.7x
Before Nov 1, 2026
23.4x
$3,872,399 vol5 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

College sports federalization
2.66x
Export-control chip security
3.29x
$773,549 vol30 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50
2.98x
Above 55
3.08x
$31,637 vol8 markets
Congress

Ruben Gallego out as Senator?

Before Nov 3, 2026
13.4x
Before Oct 1, 2026
31.2x
$49,051 vol3 markets
Politics

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$243,291 vol1 market
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Mike Lee
2.98x
Ruben Gallego
2.98x
$27,401 vol12 markets
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.13x
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.10x
$1,252,133 vol2 markets
Congress

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.46x
Before Dec 1, 2026
2.59x
$8,505 vol5 markets
Congress

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x
Before Sep 1, 2027
3.13x
$3,066,051 vol5 markets
Congress

Will Chuck Edwards be censured before the midterms?

Yes
1.60x
No
2.19x
$5,555 vol1 market
Congress

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.08x
Before Aug 1, 2027
3.80x
$131,769 vol5 markets
Congress

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.18x
$284,566 vol1 market
Congress

Will Cory Mills leave the House?

Before Nov 3, 2026
4.13x
Before Oct 1, 2026
5.56x
$45,534 vol3 markets
Congress

Will new tariffs become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.86x
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.83x
$28,783 vol3 markets
Congress

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Before 2028
1.34x
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.29x
$189,631 vol3 markets
Congress

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.05x
$2,263,120 vol1 market
Congress

Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?

Yes
93.5x
No
--
$191,042 vol1 market
Congress

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

Before Dec 1, 2026
3.52x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.52x
$43,034 vol5 markets
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
2.34x
Before 2027
13.4x
$288,067 vol2 markets
Congress

When will the US House censure another member?

Before Oct 2026
1.60x
Before Nov 2026
1.44x
$6,564 vol4 markets