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Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?

On Dec 14, 2026
1.60x
On Mar 15, 2027
1.40x
$63,503 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.02x
$14,656,257 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
5.90x
Before Jul 1, 2027
9.41x
$4,170,808 vol5 markets
Local

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

James Talarico
James Talarico
James Talarico
4.31x
Charles Booker
Charles Booker
Charles Booker
5.90x
$133,388 vol10 markets
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.80x
Before Oct 1, 2027
4.73x
$10,204,582 vol7 markets
Congress

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.55x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
$13,695 vol2 markets
Congress

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.83x
Before Nov 3, 2026
5.56x
$29,008 vol2 markets
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.80x
$140,998 vol3 markets
Trump

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?

At least 2
3.29x
At least 1
1.33x
$14,709 vol4 markets
Congress

Who will Barack Obama rally with?

Josh Turek
Josh Turek
Josh Turek
1.97x
Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson
2.09x
$22,455 vol7 markets
Congress

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
93.5x
No
1.01x
$3,941,393 vol1 market
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
2.52x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73x
$313,253 vol4 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

Protect College Sports Act
2.52x
Export-control chip security
3.18x
$847,834 vol30 markets
Congress

How many government shutdowns this year?

2
1.44x
3
2.89x
$59,519 vol4 markets
Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
4.13x
James Donaldson
James Donaldson
James Donaldson
3.96x
$107,475 vol13 markets
Congress

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.05x
Before Aug 1, 2027
2.52x
$167,531 vol5 markets
NYC

Who will AOC endorse?

Brad Lander
Brad Lander
Brad Lander
1.86x
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
1.97x
$62,182 vol8 markets
Congress

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
6.74x
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
9.41x
$171,671 vol5 markets
Congress

Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

Yes
1.73x
No
1.83x
$2,287 vol1 market
Congress

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

Before Jan 1, 2027
4.31x
Before Dec 1, 2026
10.4x
$47,212 vol3 markets
Congress

When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.79x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
$4,213 vol3 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Yes
2.73x
No
1.44x
$18,970 vol1 market
Congress

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump’s impeachment?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.97x
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.67x
$196,659 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.29x
$32,546 vol2 markets